This is a thread specifically for the war, not a general megathread (use the pinned /c/genzedong thread for that).

Please keep related news in this thread rather than making separate posts. Remember to include sources and avoid spreading rumours.

Previous megathread

        • GracesArms@lemmygrad.ml
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          12 days ago

          Yes, still very much losing.

          My uninformed analysis of the whole debacle at this stage is that America pretended to be conducting a humanitarian movement to free stuck ships in the strait. Really they escorted out two US flagged ships in a risky heist, Came under fire, And lost a big part of the only oil field in the UAE that avoided Hormuz.

          US tested Irans resolve and defense methods and freed a couple ships. Iran showed them what they use to deter military intervention. Missiles/fast boats/ shore munitions etc.

          Looks like Iran showed they still have power to deter naval movements and significant escalation capabilities, as this was walked back in record time. Even for Trump. They’re just throwing shit at a wall to see what sticks at this point.

  • rainpizza@lemmygrad.ml
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    13 days ago

    Professor Marandi:

    More information on a crowdfunding campaign to kidnap me. The X profile “Terror Alarm” is behind it, now documented by TjekDet as run by a Danish association. Terror Alarm says that I am on the Israeli regime’s hit list, so capturing me would be “less aggressive.”

    https://www.tjekdet.dk/indsigt/danskere-staar-bag-dusoer-tilfangetagelse-af-kendt-iransk-debattoer

    Prof Marandi’s tweet -> https://xcancel.com/s_m_marandi/status/2050214304192840110#m

      • Malkhodr @lemmygrad.ml
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        13 days ago

        The cult like fixation for US imperialist politicians have on defending Israel is, in my opinion, the most significant factor as to why reactionary narratives regarding Israel’s role as some puppet master are so easily fueled.

        Like, I really can’t blame the average politically miseducated American for coming to those conclusions. Just another hurdle of propaganda we need to dismantle.

        • Commiejones@lemmygrad.ml
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          12 days ago

          Its kinda impressive how the ruling class can take something like opposition to genocide and twist it so that instead of class consciousness people fall into reactionary nationalism.

          I try to do that sort of move to get people to class awareness instead of reaction but I am doing it one by one and it almost never works. The imperial machine can do it with like 90% success on a mass scale and you barely even see the move until its over.

        • Beat_da_Rich@lemmygrad.ml
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          10 days ago

          When people finally have distance from this whole period of history, it’s going to be difficult explaining to later generations just how sophisticated the psyops of Zionism and American fascism were. From popular media, to weaponization of the Holocaust, to the right latching onto antisemitic conspiracy theories in order to alienate people from the left, etc.

        • SocialistVibes01@lemmy.ml
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          13 days ago

          No doubt. But they’re picking on me for generalizing. I think it’s a valid tool of discourse. Just a lil bit of irony and hyperbole, people. I’m living under the Evil Empire’s hammer, but those don’t escape me yet. In collectivism-geared societies, people talk like this. The US needs a Cultural Revolution ASAP.

      • 201dberg@lemmygrad.ml
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        13 days ago

        I guess fuck everyone that’s on this site from the US then? Just because all the official parties are co-opted and neutered doesn’t mean there aren’t communists here.

  • rainpizza@lemmygrad.ml
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    9 days ago

    ⭐️French presidential candidate, Jean-Luc Mélenchon:

    We will leave NATO. NATO is useless. It serves only one thing - putting us under American supervision.

    Israel is the most dangerous country in the region today. It is Israel that attacks all its neighbors. It is Israel that starts wars. It is Israel that commits genocide. When I say Israel, I mean the Netanyahu government.

    https://t.me/naya_foriraq/74974

      • Commiejones@lemmygrad.ml
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        9 days ago

        Jean-Luc Mélenchon is a trot/sucdem but he is fairly anti-imperialist (though I imagine he has shit takes of french colonialism) and has a reasonable shot at being president so him saying this is a good thing.

          • cfgaussian@lemmygrad.ml
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            9 days ago

            You would think so but in Europe that’s fairly common. A lot of former Trotskyists transitioned to social-democracy after 1989. Most “Euro-communist” parties today are socdems with Trot origins.

  • Razia (She/Her)@lemmygrad.ml
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    14 days ago

    PressTV: Two missiles hit US Navy vessel after it ignored Iran’s warning: Report

    https://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2026/05/04/768028/Two-missiles-hit-US-Navy-vessel-after-it-ignored-Iran-s-warning-Report


    So this just happened! Looks like this time around they ignored Iran’s warnings for just a little bit too long when playing chicken with the Hormuz defences and didn’t turn around in time.

    CENTCOM is denying this but it’s being reported by Fars and Al-Jazeera as well, I imagine we’ll have more information soon. I’d love to find out what weapons were used and the circumstances of the strike - I’m assuming that this is an Arleigh Burke. Sending in a ship for this kind of high-risk political signaling must be really unpopular in US military circles, no faster way to tank morale than to take wild and unjustified risks with sailors’ lives for media stunts.

    This could spark out of control fast unless the US decides to continue denying it to save face and then de-escalates. Let’s see.

  • rainpizza@lemmygrad.ml
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    13 days ago

    DROP SITE NEWS: 💢 A senior Iranian official tells Drop Site another U.S. attack is likely

    🔸 “Based on current assessments, another military attack seems likely,” the official tells Jeremy Scahill.
    🔸 Says Trump’s blockade has failed to achieve its goals.
    🔸Adds Trump “can’t keep the blockade going much longer” — increasing pressure to act.
    🔸 Warns the U.S. will likely escalate to try to force a result.

    🔹Expects escalation to focus on:
    ➤ Hormuz and Iran’s coastline
    ➤ Expanded military operations
    ➤ A new wave of assassinations of Iranian leaders, potentially with Israel

    🔹Why Iran thinks this:
    ➤ Trump can’t sustain the blockade indefinitely
    ➤ He needs a visible outcome or ‘win’
    ➤ Escalation becomes the fallback option

    🔹Iran’s posture in response:
    ➤ Preparing for retaliation across the region
    ➤ Has rebuilt defenses during the ceasefire
    ➤ And developed new target lists

    Full new report from Jeremy Scahill here https://www.dropsitenews.com/p/trump-iran-war-threats-hormuz-israel

    Also, interesting piece of information from the reporting:

    “If this new scenario ends up becoming contested, in which the risk of war is still there, looming in the background, in which there isn’t full acceptance and as a result you also don’t have a full flow of oil, that will ensure that the international markets are going to try to reduce the strategic significance of the Strait of Hormuz,” Parsi said. “In that scenario, Iran needs to also have an alternative.”

    As it works on its future plans for managing Hormuz, Iran also has been working to prepare for such a scenario. It has been negotiating the expansion of alternative land shipping options in the region and is brokering the erection of a network of routes transiting Pakistan and Afghanistan, a parallel trade system outside of Western dominance. Iran envisions this as establishing itself as a central transit hub in the heart of central and western Asia.

    “This is an important development. For years, we did not pay much attention to developing land transit infrastructure due to a lack of necessity. However, we are now moving forward at a very fast pace, and the level of engagement from the countries involved in these corridors has genuinely surprised us,” said the Iranian official. “This dynamic is reshaping the region and will significantly transform the future of trade and the nature of relations between countries in West Asia.”

    These alternative land routes are not just long-term strategic planning by Tehran, but a direct response to the blockade in the Strait of Hormuz that Iran believes will allow it to endure a prolonged standoff by countering some of the economic and supply impact. “Our volume of maritime trade is very high, so naturally shifting it to land transit won’t be easy,” the official said. But, he added, “things are actually moving forward at a really good pace.”

      • rainpizza@lemmygrad.ml
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        13 days ago

        Sadly, if Brain Berletic’s take turns out to be true, the war will not end soon but it will expand.

        You can check his take here -> https://journal-neo.su/2026/04/28/why-the-us-is-at-war-with-iran-and-why-the-war-might-pause-but-wont-end/

        Until the interests driving US foreign policy — including the arms industry, big oil and gas, big tech, the automotive industry, and many others — are displaced around the globe by the alternatives offered by multipolarism, and until the multipolar world can create sufficient deterrence against not only US military aggression but also the economic coercion, political interference, and capture that lead to that aggression, the US will continue to hold global peace, prosperity, and stability hostage to its demands for continued unipolar hegemony over the planet.

        • PumpkinFactory@lemmygrad.ml
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          13 days ago

          I don’t want to sound like I am crassly glazing my own country (China), but come to think of it, I am immensely thankful that China is taking up the economic fight against US hegemony.

          arms industry -> Good luck with missiles and jets while we hold rare earth and specialized metal industries in hard check
          big oil -> renewables are gaining ground despite efforts of big oil to cripple them, and most solar panels are now exported by China
          big tech -> Alternatives are here, including a much more resource efficient ecosystem of AI, to the point even companies in Silicon Valley are using them
          automotive industry -> Got Ford so shocked, lobbying efforts have been made in Washinton to never allow Chinese EVs to compete

          Also, banking and international transaction -> used to be, SWIFT was the only game in town, now no longer.

          Despite not being a “pure” socialist state, China is taking on the challenge of the century and taking on the crumbling empire by it’s neck.

          • Cowbee [he/they]@lemmygrad.ml
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            13 days ago

            To be clear, “pure” socialism is largely a western conception. China has a socialist market economy, and is gradually developing and progressing along that road. Socialism is a process more than it is a “thing.”

  • rainpizza@lemmygrad.ml
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    13 days ago

    🔴 Iran has created a power leverage against America’s greed by strategically controlling the Strait of Hormuz

    🔹International experts emphasize that Iran’s control over the Strait of Hormuz, a vital passage for a quarter of the world’s maritime oil and a huge volume of gas and fertilizer, is not only a legitimate defensive right but also a powerful leverage against the maximum pressure exerted by the US.

    🔹According to Al Jazeera, Iran, by smartly disrupting the passage of hostile ships without attacking neutral vessels, has been able to impose heavy costs on the economy of the US and its allies.

    🔹This strategic move has placed Tehran in a position to resist Washington’s unreasonable demands, such as the complete halt of the nuclear program.

    🔹The reduction of oil tanker traffic from 129 vessels in February to nearly zero indicates the effectiveness of this defensive policy and the West’s vulnerability to energy shocks.

    https://t.me/QODS_COM/182419

  • rainpizza@lemmygrad.ml
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    11 days ago

    💠 The Speaker of the Parliament in his second audio message to the people of Iran: The enemy is seeking Iran’s surrender through economic pressure

    🔹 We do not underestimate the possibility of a military attack, especially terrorist attacks, but the part of the enemy’s plan that targets society is to weaken Iran from within

    🔹 The enemy has placed great hope on economic pressure, and it is clear that they have again been given false reports and based on these reports, they have made wrong decisions, which will cause hardship for everyone.

    🔹 Experts specializing in Iran admit that no matter how much economic pressure the Iranian nation faces, they endure the difficulties for the sake of their country’s independence and dignity, and for their religion and beliefs.

    🔹 The Iranian nation has historical awareness and understands that in this sensitive period of Iran’s history, they must stand against this criminal enemy at all costs; an enemy who, in its delusions, believed it could destroy Iranian civilization.

    🔹 I ask the honorable government to present its plans, reports, and actions regarding the issue of rising prices to the dear people so that they may find peace of mind through officials’ follow-up.

    🔹 In its new design, the enemy is seeking economic pressure and media agitation through a naval blockade, aiming to destroy the country’s cohesion and force us to surrender.

    🔹 The most effective missile that the people can fire at the heart of the enemy is “saving.” My other request is that the people, like during the Corona period, launch the “Iran United” campaign with solidarity.

    sepahnews.ir (http://sepahnews.ir/) | Sepah News

    https://t.me/sepahnewsir403/14111

  • rainpizza@lemmygrad.ml
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    8 days ago

    — 🇮🇱 It’s now 2026, a reality check for Israel after 3 years of war:

    🇵🇸 Gaza front:

    – Hamas has not been disarmed after almost three years of war.

    – Tunnel infrastructure in Gaza is intact, rocket arrays being slowly rebuilt.

    – Al-Qassam has approximately 25,000 fighters, the same amount as before Oct 7th.

    – No sign of an interim government, Hamas is still politically in control of Gaza.

    🇱🇧 Lebanon front:

    – Hezbollah has not been disarmed, neither North nor South of the Litani.

    – Hezbollah’s leadership has successfully reorganized and decentralized, and is now more resistant to assassination strikes than before.

    – Hezbollah retains the capability to launch long-range and medium-range rockets, drones and missiles into Israel.

    – The increasing use of FPV drones has rendered northern Israeli settlements into ghost towns, and significantly degraded the IDF’s freedom of movement in southern Lebanon.

    🇮🇷 Iran front:

    – The Islamic Republic is still firmly in power, and perhaps even more entrenched than before.

    – Iran’s ballistic missile program, drone force, and conventional capabilities are almost entirely intact and capable of threatening Israel.

    – Iran still possesses a large stockpile of highly-enriched uranium, nuclear breakout time is still at ~6 months to a year.

    – The Strait of Hormuz is now under Iranian control.

    – Most U.S. bases in the region have been rendered unusable and Israel’s Gulf allies are in the weakest position they’ve ever found themselves.

    🇾🇪 Yemen front:

    – Ansarallah (Houthis) still control the majority of Yemen.

    – Houthis still possess hundreds of ballistic missiles and thousands of drones, capable of targeting Israel.

    – The Bab Al-Mandab can be closed at any moment.

    In strategic terms, Israel has achieved nothing in all these three years.

    Except the destruction of Gaza’s civilian population and infrastructure.

    • guolai@lemmygrad.ml
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      8 days ago

      It’s nice to read this reality check after just a barriage of news on the damn Zionists commiting atrocities without any reprisal. Obviously, things are still horrid in Palestine and Southern Lebanon but it’s nice to see some aspects of their failures while everywhere on the internet moves to slience their critics and failures.

      • cfgaussian@lemmygrad.ml
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        8 days ago

        It’s important to remember that atrocities aren’t victories. More often they signal impotence and defeat.

    • Commiejones@lemmygrad.ml
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      7 days ago

      Iran still possesses a large stockpile of highly-enriched uranium, nuclear breakout time is still at ~6 months to a year.

      Ted Postol puts it at weeks or months and he knows this stuff.

  • rainpizza@lemmygrad.ml
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    9 days ago

    💠 Geopolitical analyst and former U.S. Army officer:

    🔹 It is unlikely that Trump will restart the “Freedom Project,” as on Monday three U.S. Navy destroyers, just like the Abraham Lincoln carrier on the first day of the war, were heavily attacked by Iranian subsonic cruise missiles and had to use their Phalanx point-defense systems to shoot them down at close range.

    🔹 What most people don’t realize is that Iran has not yet deployed its supersonic and hypersonic anti-ship missiles, and if they wanted to, they could have easily sunk our three destroyers in the Persian Gulf.

    🔹 Iranian leaders are by no means crazy; rather, they act with restraint and demonstrate that they have maintained their dominance over the United States without escalating real tensions.

    https://t.me/sepahnewsir403/14170

  • rainpizza@lemmygrad.ml
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    13 days ago

    Handala team:
    40 days have passed and we all are still alive and stronger than before… By the way, is Kash Patel good?

    It would be better if, instead of searching for us, you went after the leaders of Epstein’s pedophile network. You should be addressing the security disaster at the White House, where it seems like every day someone can just walk in unchecked.

    By the way, all of our members are ready to proudly reveal their identities, because we doubt you even have the capability to find us. We are waiting at the Handala email for an email from the FBI so we can provide our names.

    https://t.me/CYBER_HANDALA/99