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Joined 4 years ago
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Cake day: March 23rd, 2022

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  • Honestly I think it is more a move against europe. China can adjust to a sea blockade by using over land routes, protecting sea convoys, lowering their exports, and rejiggering their oil usage.

    Europe has no plans and no resources other than a bunch of people. I think the plan is for usa to deprive them of their energy and convince them to go take West Asia and Africa with human wave attacks. Remember hegseth’s speech to europe? They want another crusade, just as hamfisted and poorly planned as the last ones, and this time they want it to go all the way to South Africa so elon can go back to slave labor emerald mining.

    usa learned that the best way to be king is to make everyone else fight eachother. They don’t want to get in a confrontation with China. They want to make confrontations between everyone that pull China and Russia into them.





  • Piracy can only be done by privately owned boats not state actors. There is no term for when a state starts stealing privately owned ships. (because its stupid)

    What usa is doing is the crime of aggression which is forbidden by the UN charter. They are just saying they plan on committing aggression against privately owned ships of more nations. But since the UN charter is a dead letter there will be no legal repercussions.

    I imagine that China and Russia will start escorting convoys. Then some american owned boat is gonna get taken by plausibly deniable pirates and we will likely end up in a world where all shipping will happen under guard.








  • Israel knows how easily it can be flattened if it pulls something.

    Iran showed them in June how easily they could be flattened. It didn’t stick. Being told that they will be nuked will not matter. israelis are immune to “deterrence.” Every time they get deterred they forget why they stopped in a few days or weeks and then they go right back. Having a nuke does nothing except insure that nukes will be used. They are supremacists and exceptionalists, they believe the rules of reality do not apply to them.

    The Nukes will only be used if Iran is nuked first.

    What would stop them using them in a first strike? Morality? Law? Morality is not a constant. Laws can be changed. If Iran have nukes any missile could be armed with a nuke. israel would have to treat each one like they are under nuclear attack.

    If a nuke goes off in occupied Palestine all of Palestine get irradiated killing millions of people including Palestinians as well as people in neighboring countries. That doesn’t help anyone. Iran’s current set of tools are working perfectly fine why would they cut off their ability to use them?

    They need nukes. This whole situation would’ve never happened if Iran had nukes.

    This whole thing would have happened sooner if they had started building nukes. That has been the israeli narrative for starting war with Iran for decades.