They’ve been trying to do this for the last year, but it’s a fools errand in my perspective. The Lebanese military has strongly discouraged rhe disarming of Hezbollah during the faux ceasire due to the conflict with Israel before. Why would they change their minds now when there’s an active invasion and ethnic cleansing occurring?

The Lebanese military, at least a large portion of it, is not going to mobilize against Hezbollah. Whether due to pragmatism, sympathy, or the fact that they have no chance if winning, I find it highly unlikely the Military follows the government’s plan.

I mean, the Lebanese Army has been pathetic against Israel and the IDF. How the fuck does anyone think they’d be capable against Hezbollah of all forces, one of the most effective militant organizations in the world? It’s suicidal, and I just don’t think the Lebanese military has the stomach for it, I’d sooner expect them to coup the government instead, and subdue any remaining loyalists with the aid of Hezbollah.

Though, frankly I think it’s more likely that they just do nothing. Stoking a civil war is only going to further delegitimize the comprodor Lebanese government. I don’t think there’s enough phalangists to try and create a civil war.