🇷🇺🇧🇾🇰🇿🇰🇬🇦🇲 The Kremlin has published a joint statement by the leaders of Russia, Belarus, Kazakhstan, and Kyrgyzstan on the situation surrounding Armenia’s desire to join the EU.

➡️The leaders support holding a referendum in Armenia on whether to join the EU or remain in the EAEU

➡️A report on the possible consequences of Armenia’s withdrawal from the EAEU will be presented in December 2026

➡️Armenia’s preparations for EU accession pose significant risks to the economic security of EAEU member states.

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🇷🇺🇦🇲 Russia will raise energy prices for Armenia if it withdraws from the EAEU - Putin

An increase in energy prices will result in a loss of at least 14% of its GDP for Armenia

…

Europe promises to invest 2.5 billion euros in Armenia someday, and Russia has already invested significant funds in the country

• Putin

Putin recalled the advantages of cooperation in the EAEU - a common market, duty-free trade, simplified logistics, low energy prices. The accumulated investments in Armenia are about 4.9 billion dollars, 86% of which are of Russian origin, he emphasized.

The transition to the EU will lead to the full restoration of customs control and customs duties, a reduction in trade and tourism.

“We will have to restore the permissive order for Armenian carriers. This is inevitable. And we will have to increase tariff levels for railways,”

added the President of Russia.

According to Putin, Pashinyan said that he considered it right to hold a referendum, and the EAEU asked that this be done as soon as possible.

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Importance of Armenia’s future

Armenia has little to actually gain from joining the EU, not even considering how impractical a suggestion it is. All this would do is give the West the ability to set up military architecture right next to Iran and much closer to Russia (as well as Türkiye, which I think the west will turn on in the coming years). It only serves western political interests over Armenian economic ones, isolates Armenia from regional partnerships, and actively puts Armenia in danger, by making them a target by putting them in Iran and Russia’s firing line if the EU decides to push a redline.

Pashinyan winning the Armenian elections is basically a death sentence for Armenia as a sovereign project of any regard. Securing security from Iran/Russia is a significantly more effective strategy, especially with Azerbaijan breathing down Armenia’s neck. The biggest threats to Armenia is Azerbaijan and Türkiye. It’s not Russia, it’s not Iran, and it’s not the Armenian church. Yet Pashinyan and his supporters seem to only speak on dangers of the latter 3, and underplay the severity of the former 2.