Yes, and it also raises a point about predictions - we rely on what little transpires, we don’t have the satellite data and the numbers available (and even those that have data available on the ground also can’t easily predict what their actions will actually achieve!)

People that make predictions that turn out to be correct had an equally adverse chance of getting it wrong. For this reason it’s good not to get too engaged in world events and stay looking at them in their totality. I support Iran bombing “Tel Aviv”, I support Iran not getting bombed, but outside of that I cannot entirely predict or change the events.

Oh but also practice revolutionary defeatism right now at home if you live in a US-aligned country lol.