So it’s official: Washington is pulling the plug on military aid to Ukraine. At Congressional hearings this week US secretary of defence Pete Hegseth confirmed the Trump administration has a “very different view” of the war in Ukraine to that of Joe Biden’s – and insisted that a “negotiated peaceful settlement is in the best interest of both parties and our nation’s interests.”
I think it’s going to be a bit more complex than that because most people in Ukraine are tired of the war, and they’re starting to realize they were used by the west. I don’t expect there’s going to be much appetite for some sort of an insurgency movement after the war is over. Meanwhile, the resentment towards the west will very probably result in blow back in Europe. The US will likely keep meddling, but I do think their influence will collapse in the whole region.