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Cake day: June 23rd, 2023

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  • This is absolute proof that the US knows China won’t invade. If the US thought there was even a slight chance that the invasion would happen, they would have not sent garbage. Especially since they keep calling Taiwan the unsinkable carrier and how important Taiwan is to protect the first island chain. So the only 2 possibilities are that:

    1. It’s not actually important to the first island chain (which we know it is, that’s why China even cares about it at all).

    2. US has no concern what so ever of China invading.

    So now we know it’s absolutely the US trying to start a conflict with China to invade Taiwan. They want this kind of news to leak out so China would be emboldened to attack.

    *Edit: And if anyone says it’s about semiconductors, you don’t understand how semiconductor manufacturing works. Any violent conflict would pretty much result in a total destruction of the semiconductor factory.



  • Except by your own argument it really is. The UK has blocked many sites for many reasons. However, none of those reasons are for crowd control. Your example is ironically proof of the statement. This is the first time a western nation has banned media for the explicit purpose of quelling a protest and suppressing speech. Your example is a government banning a site not to quell a protest or to suppress speech, but instead because of a governmental disagreement between two nations. Now which one you think is valid for suppressing speech is a totally different question, only that they are two separate and completely different reasons.



  • The bigger issue is they’re saying they’re decreasing support as of this year. Even if we ignore the fact that Russia will bomb those factories, factories don’t just pop up magically. Often taking years to build in the first place. If the support dries up as of this year, there’s no way Ukraine would be able to switch to domestic production.

    Essentially what’s really being said is Ukraine will be stuck in a stalemate at best for this year and domestic production might support Ukraine enough for future years assuming there are no delays to factory creation. But just look at the chips act to see how well factory creation goes.


  • Now, I’m not saying that Bolivia won’t get indebted to China, only that this actions is literally the opposite. When you agree to bilateral trade in another country’s currency, you’re actually going to be buying that countries debt. Look at how China is one of US’s largest bond holders. The trade agreement means Bolivia will want a large reserve of Yuan which leads to Bolivia buying Chinese bonds.

    That said, the next action will most likely be what you’re talking about. Much like Egypt after signing a currency swap agreement, Bolivia will likely denominate future debt in Yuan, or what we’ve been calling Panda bonds. Since you can use Yuan now for trade, it makes sense to take out debt in Yuan to fund things.

    An example of this not happening however is Argentina. After agreeing to a currency swap with China to trade in Yuan, Mieli got elected and promptly ended that. No indebtedness to China at all.

    You can argue that this is an indicator that Bolivia intends to get indebted to China, but this action so far is the exact opposite.